Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry fight predictions, odds, preview, undercard, start time, expert picks

Boxing fans who have been disappointed that opponents have rarely taken the fight to Jake Paul will likely get their wish on Saturday night when Paul takes on Mike Perry. Perry, Bare Knuckle Fighting Championship breakout star, is a face-first brawler who has promised to be in Paul’s face all night.

Jake Paul vs Mike Perry Fight

Paul was originally set to face Mike Tyson in what would have been the biggest fight of the summer in terms of pure interest. Tyson suffered an ulcer flare-up that forced a postponement to November. Paul wasn’t willing to sit on the sidelines to wait for Tyson and now potentially risks the biggest money fight of his career if he comes up short against Perry.

CBS Sports will be with you throughout the entire way on Saturday, beginning with the start of the pay-per-view broadcast at 9 p.m. ET, so be sure to follow along with the live results and highlights below.

Fight card, results

• Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry, cruiserweights
• Amanda Serrano vs. Stevie Morgan, super lightweights
• Lucas Bahdi def. Ashton Sylve via sixth-round knockout
• Corey Marksman def. Tony Aguilar via majority decision (76-76, 77-75, 78-74)
• Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. def. Uriah Hall via unanimous decision (59-55, 59-55, 58-56)

Who won fight, round-by-round analysis

Jake Paul will be doing more than fighting Mike Perry Saturday. He’ll be putting his much-anticipated fight against Mike Tyson at risk. Paul (9-1, 6 KOs) has claimed that a loss to Perry, a bare-knuckle brawler, would cost him a chance to fight Tyson in a bout set for Nov. 15. How Paul fares against Perry, a former mixed martial arts fighter who in 2015 lost his only pro boxing match, could be determined early.Perry will spend no time sizing up Paul in their cruiserweight fight scheduled for eight rounds, according to Perry’s trainer, James “JT” Taylor.

He said Perry will pressure Paul from the outset. “Everybody that sized Jake up in the very beginning got picked apart,’’ Taylor told USA TODAY Sports. “We’re not doing that. It’s going to feel claustrophobic in there. “This is not going to be a boxing match. This is not where you’re going to see the best two technique guys go against each other. No, you’re not going to see that. You’re going to see a fight.’’

The showdown is set for Saturday night in Tampa with quite a few implications

When Jake Paul meets Mike Perry on Saturday, he does so with a massively lucrative November clash with Mike Tyson hanging in the balance. At least, that’s what Paul has suggested. Whether that’s true or not is still to be seen — and entirely depends on whether Perry can pull the upset.

There is risk for Paul in taking this fight. to be sure. While Perry washed out of the UFC (after a promising start as a fan-friendly brawler) with a 3-7 record over his final 10 fights in the promotion, he has found new life as the premier star for Bare Knuckle Fighting Championship. Along with finding his way in BKFC, Perry has quelled many of the personal demons that seemed to be leading his life in a disastrous direction.

Perry has been able to find success, and a 5-0 record, in BKFC by mauling opponents with ungloved shots that have cut, swelled and otherwise maimed his opponents.

Still, Paul has made quite a boxing career out of fighting former UFC fighters. While he has experimented with facing the occasional “real boxer,” defeating a few club fighters and losing a moderately controversial split decision against Tommy Fury, the bulk of Paul’s meaningful fights have come against men like Tyron Woodley (twice), Ben Askren, Nate Diaz and Anderson Silva. Having now had years of dedicated boxing training, Paul has outworked and dropped all of those men who have entered on more or less a single dedicated boxing fight camp.

Paul has also taken advantage of being the larger man in those fights. While Paul has fought at the cruiserweight limit, or at least at catchweights above the 175-pound light heavyweight limit in boxing, all of his former UFC opponents have been career welterweights (170 pounds) and middleweights (185) in the UFC, though Silva had a handful of fights at 205 pounds.

Like those previous opponents, Perry was a welterweight in the UFC and has fought at 175 and 185 pounds in BKFC, being physically undersized at 185, though built perfectly for the bare-knuckle world.

Paul will have all the physical advantages heading into the fight, standing three inches taller, with a five-inch reach advantage and a considerable weight advantage for this 200-pound fight. The weight factor is exaggerated in this fight considering Paul had been bulking up to over 200 pounds for a heavyweight fight with Tyson, which was postponed after the 58-year-old Tyson suffered an ulcer flare-up and left Paul scrambling to find a replacement opponent to keep the July 20 date intact.

Paul decided to take the risk of taking on Perry, who brings an aggression Paul has not faced yet in his boxing career. Now he has to navigate the choppy waters of an ultra-aggressive opponent who has found a nose for the big moment in recent years.

“This is what I do. I’m here to fight. I love to take risks and do big events,” Paul said at the final press conference this week. “Mike Tyson called and was concerned about this fight jeopardizing the biggest fight of my career. That’s what puts the pressure on me, and I love that. I’m not slowing down for anybody. Mike Perry is not going to be the one to stop me. I’m on a path to World Championship. I’m not slowing down for anybody.”

Let’s take a closer look at the odds for the main card before getting to a prediction and expert pick on the main event.

Paul vs. Perry fight card, odds

• Jake Paul -425 vs. Mike Perry +300, cruiserweight
• Amanda Serrano -4000 vs. Stevie Morgan +1500, junior welterweights
• Ashton Sylve -295 vs. Lucas Bahdi +225, lightweights
• Shadasia Green -2500 vs. Natasha Spence +1100, super middleweights
• Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. -280 vs. Uriah Hall +215, cruiserweight

Prediction

While Perry is a legitimately dangerous opponent, it should be kept in mind that Paul and his team have been extremely careful in fight selection. There’s clearly a reason Paul feels Perry is a good opponent heading into the Tyson fight. Maybe it’s the size difference, maybe it’s that they see Perry’s reckless face-first fighting style and see an opponent that would be easy to pick apart and blast out with a big right hand. Whatever it is, Paul isn’t taking whatever small risk there is of losing out of the Tyson fight by taking on someone he’s afraid of fighting.

Perry’s power is a bit overstated at this point. The final 10 fights of his MMA career came without Perry scoring a stoppage. Though Perry has three straight TKO wins in BKFC, those have largely been the product of his bare-knuckle punches causing significant facial damage. In his most recent fight, Perry dropped 40-year-old Thiago Alves near the one-minute mark of the opening round and while Alves was able to beat the count, the fight was waived off as the referee didn’t deem him fit to continue.

Against a much larger man wearing much larger gloves, it’s hard to see Perry getting the stoppage. And Perry’s style is one that gets him hit as much, if not more, than he hits his opponents. It isn’t hard to see Paul safely boxing his way to a decision win, especially with how boxing gloves will temper both Perry’s power and allow Paul to block punches that Perry is used to connecting with in bare-knuckle and MMA. Rather than the decision, we’re predicting Paul to get the stoppage, finding a good spot to get in with some big power shots as Perry tries to charge forward and apply his aggression.

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